New weekly #earthquake #forecast for #Indonesia is out. We're announcing the following seismic hazard exposures (alerts) (29 January – 04 February 2024):
Quantectum Global Earthquake Forecasting Center
@QuantectumG
New weekly #earthquake #forecast for #Indonesia is out. We're announcing the following seismic hazard exposures (alerts) (29 January – 04 February 2024):
🟡 INCREASED (yellow): Nias, Northern Sumatra, Kepulauan Batu, Southern Sumatra, Kepulauan Mentawai, Java, Bali, Flores, Kepulauan Alor, Timor, Sumba, Ceram Sea, Halmahera, Celebes Sea, Bohol (Philippines), northern Philippines, Papua, eastern Papua New Guinea.
🟠 HIGH (orange): Sumbawa, Kepulauan Barat Daya, Kepulauan Babar, Kepulauan Kai, Kepulauan Tanimbar, Banda Sea, Sulawesi, Minahasa (Sulawesi), Molucca Sea, Kepulauan Talaud, Kepulauan Sangihe, Northern Papua, Philippines - Mindanao, Leyte & Mindoro.
🔺 Warnings (due to highly active tectonic D-waves): Sumbawa, Kepulauan Barat Daya, Kepulauan Babar, Kepulauan Kai, Kepulauan Tanimbar, Banda Sea, Ceram Sea, Celebes Sea.
The second image shows the ESTIMATED EARTHQUAKE PROBABILITIES in regions with 🟠 HIGH SEISMIC HAZARD EXPOSURE 🟠 (orange alert) calculated by Quantectum’s probability calculator.
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